It took Amon-Ra St. Brown a little while to heat up in his rookie season, but he was straight fire once he did.
The former USC wideout put on a show in his final six games of the regular season and established himself as the Detroit Lions’ go-to pass catcher down the stretch.
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This year, he’ll have more competition at the receiver position after the Lions drafted Alabama star Jameson Williams and imported D.J. Chark from Jacksonville.
Sports betting odds have St. Brown’s total regular season receiving yards set at around 850. Can the sophomore have a repeat performance and blow by that number this year? Let’s find out.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Odds for Receiving Yards Total
| Player | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Over 850.5 (-112) Under 850.5 (-112) | Over 850.5 (-120) Under 850.5 (-110) | Over 849.5 (-115) Under 849.5 (-115) | Over 850.5 (-115) Under 850.5 (-115) |
More Lions player props: D’Andre Swift rushing yards | Jared Goff passing yards
Spectacular Rookie Campaign
Give the Lions’ scouting staff props for landing St. Brown in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL Draft. The 17th wide receiver off the board, St. Brown looks like a steal after smashing multiple Lions’ rookie records last year, including receiving yards (912) and receptions (90).
His 90 receptions were second among rookies (Jaylen Waddle, 104), and his 912 yards through the air were fourth, trailing only Ja’Marr Chase, Jaylen Waddle, and DeVonta Smith — all of whom were top-10 picks.
After making 39 receptions through his first 11 games, St. Brown exploded for 51 grabs in his last six games. He tallied 560 yards and five touchdowns in that six-game span and caught eight or more passes in each game.
In his last two contests of the season, St. Brown had his first 100-yard receiving games as a pro with 109 vs. the Green Bay Packers and 111 vs. the Seattle Seahawks.
Longshot wager: Detroit Lions odds to win NFC North
Will St. Brown’s numbers decline in year two?
St. Brown has quickly established himself as a big-game player that has won over the coaching staff and the locker room. He hit his stride down the stretch last year, and there’s no reason to believe that his production will slow down this season.
Yes, the Lions drafted star wideout Jameson Williams, from Alabama. But Williams is coming off a torn ACL just seven months ago and is expected to miss a significant amount of time. When he does return, he’ll likely be eased into his role with the Lions not wanting to risk further injury.
Newly acquired D.J. Chark is a burner with reliable hands and will command his share of targets without question. But his ability to stretch the field will only open things up for St. Brown over the middle and take pressure off the second-year receiver.
Big Ten Championship Odds: Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines
Take the Over with St. Brown
In his last six games, St. Brown averaged 93.3 yards per game. Over a 17-game stretch that equates to a 1,587-yard season. While it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to sustain such a torrid pace, if St. Brown has just over half of that average (50.1 yards per game), he’ll be over the 850-yard mark.
It’s something he’s already done in his rookie season (912), and his chemistry with Goff should only be stronger in their second year together. Health permitting, the over on this one looks like a no-brainer.
AP Photo/Paul Sancya
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